MIRSAD is an independent Syrian center for opinion polling and public policy research.
We measure twenty national indicators across Syria's fourteen governorates and publish every figure with its sample and margin of error. First wave: Q1 2027.
What is not measured cannot be governed — we never miss a number.
How we measurePublicationssay the country is heading in the right direction. Comparative reference until our first wave is published.
The Syrian Barometer — twenty indicators
Our own figures will be published after the first wave; until then we show the comparative reference where one exists, and we say plainly where we will be the first to measure.
- DIR-01
Direction of the Country
56%Share who think the country is heading in the right directionComparative reference: Arab Opinion Index — sample 3,690 — ±2–3% - TRU-01
Trust in Institutions
Before fieldwork · Q1 2027Composite index of citizens' trust in the government, parliament, judiciary and policeNo published reference with a declared methodology - PRI-01
Citizens’ Priorities
Before fieldwork · Q1 2027Ranking of top concerns: security, living costs, services, justiceComparative reference: Syria in Transition - SEC-01
Sense of Safety
Before fieldwork · Q1 2027Share who feel safe in their neighbourhood at nightNo published reference with a declared methodology - CPI-01
Price Index
Before fieldwork · Q1 2027Monthly change in the price of a fixed basket of living essentialsComparative reference: Syrian Center for Policy Research - POV-01
Poverty Line
Before fieldwork · Q1 2027Share of households below the upper poverty lineComparative reference: Syrian Center for Policy Research - EMP-01
Perceived Unemployment
Before fieldwork · Q1 2027Share of job-seekers without work in the reference weekNo published reference with a declared methodology - RET-01
Return Intentions
Before fieldwork · Q1 2027Share of displaced people who intend to return within a yearNo published reference with a declared methodology - MED-01
Trust in Media
Before fieldwork · Q1 2027Share who trust national media as their first source of newsThe baseline is set by our first wave - ELE-01
Electoral Interest
Before fieldwork · Q1 2027Share who intend to take part in the next electionThe baseline is set by our first wave - SRV-01
Service Satisfaction
Before fieldwork · Q1 2027Composite index for electricity, water, health and educationThe baseline is set by our first wave - REC-01
Reconstruction
Before fieldwork · Q1 2027Share who think reconstruction is advancing in their areaThe baseline is set by our first wave - TRJ-01
Transitional Justice
Before fieldwork · Q1 2027People's priorities in transitional justice and their assessment of its courseThe baseline is set by our first wave - FRE-01
Freedom to Speak
Before fieldwork · Q1 2027Share who feel they can voice their opinion on public affairs openly without fearComparative reference: World Values Survey — freedom-of-expression items - COR-01
Paying Unofficially
Before fieldwork · Q1 2027Share of households that made an informal payment for a public service in the past twelve monthsComparative reference: Global Corruption Barometer — experience item - MIG-01
Intent to Leave
Before fieldwork · Q1 2027Share of residents seriously considering leaving Syria within a yearThe baseline is set by our first wave - MIS-01
The Missing
Before fieldwork · Q1 2027Share of households reporting a missing member whose fate is unknown, and what they ask for firstThe baseline is set by our first wave - DOC-01
Civil Documentation
Before fieldwork · Q1 2027Share of households where a member lacks an identity, birth or property documentComparative reference: NRC civil documentation assessment — not nationally representative - PSY-01
Psychological Distress
Before fieldwork · Q1 2027Share showing signs of psychological distress, and those who sought help but found noneThe baseline is set by our first wave - ERW-01
Explosive Remnants
Before fieldwork · Q1 2027Share of households avoiding land or roads for fear of explosive remnants of warComparative reference: UNMAS — counts incidents, not behaviour
Why MIRSAD is different
Every figure carries its methodology
The sample, how it was drawn, the margin of error and the fieldwork dates are published with each value — not in an appendix nobody opens. We publicly adopt the principles of AAPOR, ESOMAR and WAPOR, and build our procedures on ISO 20252 in preparation for certification.
Compared on the same table
Each of our indicators is shown beside its counterpart in the Arab Opinion Index and the international references — same question wording, and any difference in sampling or fieldwork stated outright. No rounding, no interpretation.
A time series, not a single snapshot
One survey is news; a quarterly series is memory. We fix the baseline with the first wave and build on it a cumulative database that cannot be bought.